Wednesday, 17 September 2014

Moles Or Morons In Indian Defense Establishment

Not so surprising if you are an Indian and have a taste of the official bureaucracy, a file related to Hawk AJT acquirement  has suddenly disappeared from the ministry of defense. As per the old routine ministry has ordered an inquiry to bring the guilty to justice swiftly....(read never)

The missing file dealt with 20 AJT's being procured for  IAF's surya kiran aerobatics team. which has been cooling its heels for last three years due to no jets to practice with.

Readers might remember similar thing happened with another file dealing with MMRCA contract, which went missing and was handed back to IAF by a civilian under very-2 mysterious circumstances.

You can add this to the assertions of the intelligence agency which was quite clear that Mumbai attack of 26/11 was facilitated by a mole in the Government of India. They never caught him.

Followers of this blog may be reminded of the case where a military officer asked a subedar to copy some documents from his computer and gave him the password for the same. This particular person turned out to be a guy working for the enemy and was caught handing over files to the Pakistani embassy worker.

Few years back the army sent its computers for overhaul with the hardidsk with sensitive information to local computer retail shop.

So you can draw your own conclusion as to what is going on in New Delhi. It would be very naive on our part to believe that our establishment is not being targeted (successfully) for infiltration and espionage. Not every agent is James bond or wears a long black overcoat.

Sunday, 14 September 2014

Tarek Fatah exposes Islamism

Excellent speech by Mr.Tarek Fatah about the extent Islamic Jihad and its supporters have infiltrated the white house and Canada.

Saturday, 13 September 2014

आइसिस के विरुद्ध ओबामा चारों खाने चित

एक दो दिवस पूर्व ओबामा ने आइसिस के विरुद्ध अपनी रणनीति का खुलासा किया था आज ऐसी खबर आई है की लग रहा है की ओबामा को आइसिस ने शय और मात दे दी है. 

ओबामा तथा हिलरी के प्रिय फ्री सिरियन आर्मी के कई घटक दलों ने आइसिस के साथ शांति समझौता कर लिया है . इन सब मे CIA द्वारा समर्थित और अमरीकी सरकार द्वारा पसंद किए जाने वाली सिरियन रेवोल्यूशनरी फ्रंट भी शामिल है. अल-नुसरा नामक एक भयानक और खूनी दल ने इस समझौते को रूप दिया है. इसके अनूसार सभी दलों ने एक दूसरे पेर आक्रमण ना करने का निर्णय लिया है . तथा सब मिलकर राष्ट्रपति असद के खिलाफ लड़ने का भी मन बना चुके है.

सीआईए समर्थित जो एसआरएफ कमांडर है उसने साफ रूप से कहा की वो किसी भी समूह के साथ मिलकर लड़ने के लिए तैयार है जो  नुस्सायरी शासन के विरुद्ध युध के लिए उत्सुक हो . यह अमेरिकी सरकार और सीआईए के साथ घनिष्ठ संबंध वाला इंसान हैं .

दूसरी ओर श्री ओबामा ने निर्णय लिया है की वह वास्तविक षड्यंत्रकारी सऊदी अरब की मदद से इन्ही लोगों को प्रशिक्षित करेगा. उधर जर्मनी आईएसआईएस के इन सहयोगी दलों को हथियार भेज रहा है.

खबर यह भी है की सऊदी  अरब पाकिस्तान से मिलकर एक नया आतंकी संघटन का निर्माण कर रहा है जो शियाओं का मूल विनाश करेगी. 

अब असद के लिए मुसीबतें बढ़ रही हैं. संभवतया राष्ट्रपति की फ़ौजो को कई दिशाओं से बहुआयामी हमलों का सामना करना होगा. मुझे नही लगता की वह ऐसे ख़तरे का सामना कर पाएँगे. अगर राष्ट्रपति की सत्ता गिर गयी तो मान लीजिए शीया लोगों का भयानक नरसंहार होना निश्चित है.

ओबामा और उनकी सरकार अमेरिकी मतदाताओं द्वारा की गई सबसे बड़ी गलती साबित हो रही है .

Friday, 12 September 2014

CNN publishes most amateurish commentary on Iraq

Here is another example of people writing an article without having the slightest idea about the situation, only mantra is write anything to attack the Government. Came across this master piece on CNN website.
She gives a 4 point resolution master plan for Iraq.

Obama can fight ISIS without bombs
Pro-military hawks must be pleased with President Obama's speech on Wednesday night about attacking ISIS. We're sure to hear many of them -- the same voices that have been hounding the President to take military action in the first place -- call for more extensive strikes and even American troops on the ground.

Let us discuss what Sally Kohn's 4 point formula is:

1) Cut access to guns and money.
Madam how does Obama cut access to gun and money when borders are controlled by nations with various interests and groups within those nations with different ideologies(some love ISIS, some hate them). Only way to seal borders is to use military. If you remember, outsourcing border duties to Pakistan came back to haunt the Americans later.

She mentions "US allies", which one is she talking about Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey......? Most of the so-called allies are instrumental in setting up this organisation and propping it up to break the Shia arc.

Turkey has opened its borders for ISIS to operate freely and helps in transportation of fighters from Syria to Iraq.

2) Fix Iraq's political rifts.
How does a foreign power fix the internal politics of a country. This is exactly what got Americans into trouble. They tried to fix Saddam Hussein and invaded Iraq. Unless political parties and different parts of the society in a country is willing to change, how can a foreigner do it. Remember Mr Paul Bremer's and Rumsefield understanding of Iraqi internal situation. Asking a country to play politics in another country smacks not only of  foolishness at best but a superiority complex at worst.

Iraqi society does not comprise of just whites, blacks and Hispanics with majority Christians(all variety).  Had that been the case, yes a simple nudge or a summit at camp David would have sufficed. Unfortunately as we have seen Iraq is a melting pot of different factions and they must have a secure environment with safety guaranteed to at least start thinking about unity. At the present moment due to the utter chaos, it is every man for himself.

3) Provide humanitarian assistance.
Please be kind enough to explain how do you send "humanitarian" assistance to Irbil or Mount Sinjar or Allepo when it is surrounded by heavily armed barbaric militia. What do you do airdrop food from the air, we all know that kind of strategy only works on a large area where accuracy is not important. Next is use helicopters to do the same for better distribution, but what about the mad mullah with a RPG sitting on a mountain top.

Even in an area as Kashmir, air-force had to scale down its operation after its helicopter's were stoned(not RPG). Same was the issue with Naxal affected areas, unless the ground troops could provide a sanitized area it was impossible for the choppers to operate. 

How many UN peacekeepers are needed to distribute supplies in Africa?

Therefore madam your assertion about "Humanitarian" assistance without proper military force and air-cover is not only pipe dream but a sure way to hand over billions of dollars of supplies to ISIS.

4)Lead a truly international response.
Another point which shows that the author is truly unaware of the situation. How do you get UN members to agree to fight for America. As she herself mentions that the  mess was created by the Americans and Obama in particular, thus going to UN would mean asking Russia and China to help clean America's mess. Good luck with that.

  • Relations with Russia at the present moment are touchy to say the least and after the Serbian treachery it is very hard for the Russians to believe anything USA says.
  • China has a stout policy of no interference.
  • Saudi is a sunni country and there troops in Iraq means  Shias would be up in arms.
  • Reports are that Saudi's are pumping in millions of dollar in a new Sunni outfit called Jais-E-Islam with the hep of Pakistan.
  • UAE is the hub of fundraising for Al-Nusra and the likes.
  • Turkey will not lift a finger to help the Kurds.
  • Qatar and Saudi will try their best to use ISIS against Shias, plus destabilize Assad and Iran, thus there are no chances of them playing fair.
  • Direct Iranian involvement would mean handing ammo to Sunnis for sectarian conflict.
  • European countries are struggling with economy and some would shy away after the the original Iraqi blunder.

Does the author seriously believe that countries like Indonesia, Burma, Thailand, Japan, Australia, France, Egypt etc would commit troops/material for another US led misadventure?
Firstly getting a resolution for action passed in the security council is bleak possibility, secondly sending NATO troops is not really an international coalition is it?

So madam, please write a follow up explaining to us, how is your 4 point formula different from the Rumsefield era power point presentations.

With ISIS on ground and being a cohesive military unit, it is impossible for Iraq and Syria to stabilize and unless Obama gives up his favored "Get Assad" policy, resolution of any kind is bleak.

On the other hand recent tactical withdrawal by ISIS under air attack and ground offensive shows the limitation of its capabilities and a pointer towards the way forward.

Monday, 8 September 2014

Indian Navy and the Cursed P-75I

Seven years and this project has not got even started and now the Navy has accepted that all six submarines will be built in India instead of the earlier plan of importing the first two.

Since 2007 Defense Ministry and Finance Ministry have been playing a game of hide and seek for the Navies project P-75I.  Even at the cost of our maritime security which is at its lowest ebb ever with India being down to just 13 ageing diesel-electric submarines, with only half of them operational at present.

Under this project navy wanted 6 submarines with land attack capability and air-independent propulsion. 2 of which were to be imported and 4 were to be built in-house in joint venture with the foreign vendor and Indian Shipyard. Even the shipyards were identified and ready. According to the original plan three were to be constructed at Mazagon Docks (Mumbai) and one at Hindustan Shipyard (Visakhapatnam) with technology transfer from the foreign company eventually selected.

The Scorpene project is already 4 years late and the first sub will role out may be in 2016.

In desperation the Indian navy has given into the demand of the Government to allow all the submarines to be built in India rather than importing the first two.

Even if the RFP is issued this year it will take another 3 years for the contract and another 7-8 yeas for the first submarine to be anywhere near operational.

Just compare this to the original plan. According to the envisaged plan, 12 new submarines were to be inducted to the navy by 2012, and was to be supplemented with 12 more submarines by 2030.

Another plan was:

The supersonic Brahmos will also be a principal missile to equip the six Indian Navy Project 75I submarines, for which the Indians are considering the Russian Amur class sub. Another sub being considered is the German Class-214. Plans to install the missile in the fifth and sixth Scorpene class submarines were cancelled after the Indian Navy decided to equip these subs with air independent propulsion (AIP), thus extending the submarine to its maximum length.

All these plans are now sound like castle in the air to me without any dose of realism.

So in order to have enough submarines to defend India’s maritime borders the Indian Navy can opt for 18 Scorpene Submarines, Why?
As mentioned earlier the RFP and production is going to take atleast 11 years, by which time our navies operational capabilities will become next to nothing.
Even if P75I selection is done by 2018 the first submarine will role out only by 2026 atleast and by that time Indian Navy will be left with just 6 Scorpenes. The 8 of the 13 subs India currently operate are on their last legs and by the time P-75I matures it will be all over for many of them.

Saturday, 6 September 2014

China's 'expansionist' urge

Two more instances of Chinese intrusion reported in East Ladakh; One in Demchok and the other in Towkhin in Ladakh. The Indian Army and the Chinese troops had a tough face off. As China's aggression along the LAC is increasing, will India take a tough stand?